Great-Power Competition & Security
ญี่ปุ่นเสนอตั้ง NATO เอเชียเพื่อ ต้านจีน และทดแทนสหรัฐที่เสื่อมอำนาจ? เพื่อความมั่นคงหรือชนวนสงคราม?
Summary
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba proposed an Asian NATO to answer declining American power and expanding Chinese influence.
The proposed membership: Japan, the United States, South Korea, the Philippines, Australia, India, Britain, France and Canada.
The proposal was declined almost universally, and that response says more than the proposal did.
Key points
Proposing it says Japan no longer trusts the guarantee
America’s most dependent ally is looking for a fallback, which is a signal by itself.
Asia lacks the conditions postwar Europe had
NATO grew from an unambiguous shared threat. Asian states have very different interests in China.
Nuclear sharing is where it went furthest
The proposal touched something Japan itself has avoided throughout the postwar period.
The refusal is a meaningful answer
Countries in the region do not want to be made to choose sides formally.