Dr. Atip Asvanundไทย
FDI & Investment Strategy

อินโดนีเซีย ท้าทายมหาอำนาจ จีน สหรัฐฯ

10:14YOUTUBE

Summary

Indonesia surprised observers by taking on both great powers without clearly picking a side.

The strategy is balancing rather than alignment, which distinguishes it from most of the region.

The closing question is what posture Thailand has chosen, and what stands behind it.

Key points

  1. Non-alignment needs something behind it

    Balancing works when both sides want something from you, not when you want something from both.

  2. Resources are the base of the posture

    Nickel and market size are what give a refusal weight. You need them before you can refuse.

  3. A posture must be consistent to be credible

    Balancing that shifts around reads as haggling rather than as a position.

  4. Thailand has not answered this clearly

    Having no stated position and balancing strategically are not the same thing.