ทรัมป์ มีโอกาสชนะ และกวาดทั้ง 2 สภา (สส. และ สว.)
Summary
The 5 November 2024 election was not only for the presidency but for the House and part of the Senate on the same day.
The Electoral College allows a candidate to win without the national popular vote, which makes the swing states decisive.
The two chambers are structured differently: 435 House seats apportioned by population, and 34 of 100 Senate seats contested, with every state holding two regardless of size.
Key points
The popular vote does not decide it
This is what foreign observers most often get wrong, and it changes how every poll should be read.
Swing states carry weight out of proportion to population
Nearly all campaign resources go to a handful of states, a direct consequence of the system.
The Senate gives small states equal weight
Two seats per state regardless of population makes its results systematically different from the House.
Taking both chambers changes what is actually possible
A president with both can legislate, which is a different thing from winning one office.