Great-Power Competition & Security
ทรัมป์ 2.0: ลุยจีน (และยุโรป) จับมือปูติน การปฏิวัติภูมิรัฐศาสตร์โลกครั้งใหม่
Summary
In the Bloomberg interview Trump threatened tariffs of 60 to 100% on Chinese goods and 10% on everyone else.
His posture towards China and Russia rests on personal diplomacy rather than long-run policy; in the Middle East it is restored ties with Saudi Arabia and a hard line on Iran.
What matters most for Europe is being treated as a trade competitor rather than an ally.
Key points
Personal diplomacy changes faster than policy
What rests on a relationship between individuals can reverse in a day, which is the counterparty’s risk.
The universal 10% is what hits Thailand most directly
An untargeted measure catches countries that are not party to the dispute.
Europe is reclassified from ally to competitor
That recategorisation affects everything from trade to security.
The interview predates the event that changed everything
Read it as a record of thinking before the election, not as a government’s policy statement.