Dr. Atip Asvanundไทย
AI Economics, Bubbles & Systemic Risks

ใครกันแน่ที่รวยขึ้นจาก AI: มีโอกาสมากน้อยเพียงใด สำหรับคนไทยอย่างเรา #ai #เทคโนโลยี #เศรษฐกิจ

15:33YOUTUBE

Summary

The ones getting rich from AI are those who build, host and sell it — the Magnificent 7 — while companies that merely buy AI are seeing profits fall as costs rise.

Thailand has no tech-giant-scale AI producer and is mostly a user, which risks a trade deficit from importing the technology.

NVIDIA gains most from its near-monopoly on AI chips, while OpenAI, Microsoft and Google earn from large models and are quite willing to disrupt each other.

Thailand’s openings are chip packaging, systems integration, specialised AI startups and AI engineers themselves — but nearly all of it still sells only domestically.

Early AI users do gain an edge, but once it becomes a baseline skill that advantage disappears.

Key points

  1. Selling AI and using AI are different businesses

    Value accrues to the sellers; users carry the rising cost.

  2. Thailand sits on the buying side

    Being almost entirely a user means money flows out as technology imports.

  3. Chips are the most profitable bottleneck

    NVIDIA has a near-monopoly on the point everyone must pass through.

  4. The big players will disrupt each other

    OpenAI, Microsoft and Google are not in a stable alliance.

  5. Thailand’s opening is in the specialised gaps

    Startups and systems integrators do what is not worth the giants’ time.

  6. The early-user advantage has a shelf life

    Once everyone can do it, the skill reverts to a baseline.