Trade Wars & Economic Statecraft
ภาษีทรัมป์: ใครได้ ใครเสีย? ไทยต้องเตรียมพร้อมอย่างไร วิเคราะห์กลยุทธ์ทรัมป์
Summary
The talk works through how Trump negotiated with Japan, India, the European Union, South Korea and Vietnam.
The pattern is pressing for open markets and fewer trade barriers, while tying security matters to economic agreements.
The result is that countries with less leverage face harsher terms, and those able to meet the demands get better ones.
Key points
Tying security to trade changes the table
A country dependent on military protection immediately has fewer options.
The terms differ by design
Negotiating one at a time gives each country the deal its leverage supports.
Vietnam is the case Thailand should study
Comparable in size with a different outcome, which points at what actually made the difference.
What can be prepared is knowing what you have to offer
Entering a negotiation without knowing what the other side wants from you is entering without cards.