Dr. Atip Asvanundไทย
Trade Wars & Economic Statecraft

ทรัมป์เปิดศึก "สินค้าจีนสวมสิทธิ์" ไทยคือเป้าใหม่ของสงครามภาษีทรัมป์?

5:57YOUTUBE

Summary

The Economist reported Thailand as the second-largest route, after Vietnam, for Chinese goods relabelled and sent on to the US — which puts Thailand under scrutiny.

The US already applies two-tier tariffs to Vietnam: 20% on genuinely Vietnamese-made goods, 40% on transshipped Chinese ones.

Thailand’s exposure is that its industry depends heavily on Chinese inputs, so a strict reading could apply the full tariff even where the Chinese content is small.

The strategic question is how long Thailand can stay neutral between China and the US when both sides are using tariffs to force a choice.

Key points

  1. Thailand has now been named

    Being listed in an international report turns Thailand from observer into target.

  2. Two-tier tariffs are a reusable template

    Vietnam is the test case; 20% versus 40% is the dividing line.

  3. Thai supply chains are tightly bound to China

    That makes proving origin harder than it sounds.

  4. Vague criteria are the real risk

    If the acceptable share of Chinese content is unclear, exporters cannot plan.

  5. Neutrality now has a price

    The more tariffs are used as weapons, the narrower the middle ground gets.